Before we dive into Tuesday‘s "storm", lets recap January of 2009. Our average high temperature was 24.90 degrees (average 28.71 degrees) and our average low temperature was 8.10 degrees (average 13.48 degrees). Overall, we were 4.6 degrees below normal for the month. One interesting note is that we never had... Continue reading…

Watching for a potential period of lake effect, then our focus shifts to the south...

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Still looks snowy!

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After a relatively quiet week's worth of weather (outside the Tug Hill that is), we are tracking the next winter weather event.

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I would blog about the weather, but that‘s difficult because a.) I‘m not going to be around to see it play out and b.) Truthfully, the models are doing a miserable job handling the current weather pattern…there‘s a ton of uncertainty beyond next Monday. We‘ll have to let the weekend...

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This isn‘t exactly a January thaw as we‘ve come to know it. But it is a thaw in the overall pattern of storm after storm. I‘m not sure if this is a sign our La Nina-esque pattern that‘s been in place since last February is now relaxing. But it might... Continue reading…

With the Presidential Inauguration coming up on Tuesday, I thought it would be appropriate to look back at some of the extreme weather that occurred during that time period. A little history before we dig into the wacky weather. Outdoor inaugurations began in 1817 and took place in March (smart idea weather...

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A couple things first. Thank you all for your kind words. I really appreciate them. :) More regarding that next week. Next up. We got an awesome email today. A very rare occurance known as "snow rollers" or "snow doughnuts" occurred the other night near Verona. Basically, if there is... Continue reading…

Cold, cold, cold. That‘s all you can say. This is not the worst air mass we‘ve ever seen. And some people might say it might just be hype. But this is the coldest air mass we‘ve seen here since January 2005. It just looks nasty. Here‘s the skinny on the cold and...

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After yet another overperforming clipper, our weather is going to take a turn towards the bitterly cold end.  There have been some changes to our thoughts as to how this whole scenario will play out.

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One thing I‘ve learned this winter is to not fall into traps. Models are only as good as the forecaster using them. I was talking with someone today and discussing how we sort have developed an additional "science" of "modelology." Not only do we as forecasters need to understand how... Continue reading…

Our snow, ice, sleet, rain, kitchen sink storm is now gradually pulling away. Of note, has anyone checked out their barometer lately? Down to 985 mb now with that storm pulling through. That‘s not an extremely low pressure, but that‘s probably the 2nd or 3rd lowest barometer reading I‘ve seen... Continue reading…

First of all, for anyone looking for a breakdown by region, it is posted in our forecast discussion on the wktv.com home page. Secondly, at the bottom, you see our snow and ice forecasts, current as of Tuesday night. Check the discussion link above for the very latest...

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In the 72 hours leading up to one of these storms, there are often some big changes in thinking/model guidance, so it‘s always good to keep a fresh perspective, but to not overanalyze things. To preface this, the current forecast thinking has not changed too much since Bill‘s entry last... Continue reading…

December is probably one of the most active patterns we've had in a long time.  This week will be no exception.  Tonight we'll see some light icing, followed by a mini lake effect event for the north country, a bigger storm Wednesday, and another weaker storm on Saturday.

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Well, here we go again. For all the complaining we‘ve heard this winter, I feel like we haven‘t had a break forecasting it since October. And there‘s no break down the road in sight. 2008 Wrap-Up Total Precipitation: 48.27" (3.02" above normal) Total Calendar Year Snowfall: 109.4" (10.5" above normal)br... Continue reading…