Blog Archives: February 2007

Forecasting Mess on Friday

Posted February 28th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 62 comments

These types of forecasts are the absolute worst. I can't speak for the others, but I think they'll agree... The best winter forecasts are large scale synoptic snow systems...you know..the ones that bring everyone moderate to heavy snowfall. The 2nd best winter forecasts would be lake effect. Tough as all,... Continue reading…

More Forecast Challenges Ahead...

Posted February 27th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 73 comments

First, I wanted to address a minor hoax that a lot of you may be victims of. The "amazing" CNY snow pictures. We've received several emails from viewers claiming that the image you see here, was taken in Oswego or Lewis County or any other place in CNY. It's... Continue reading…

March to Come in Like a Lion

Posted February 26th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 46 comments

At least it's looking that way. Let's start from earlier this month and look ahead. Valentine's Day Storm The NWS officially released the storm's rating on the NESIS scale today. For those of you unfamiliar, the NESIS is the Northeast Snowfall Impact Scale. It was devised by former Weather... Continue reading…

The streak continues...

Posted February 25th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 42 comments

With snow that will surely fall before midnight tonight on our doorsteps, we now will have 24 consecutive days with snowfall in Utica. I don't know if that is a record, but I wouldn't be shocked if it was. Also, no doubt we'll add at least 2 more days to that total seeing that snow is in the forecast for tomorrow and Tuesday. We lost about 4" of snow here on Smith hill over the weekend, but it looks like we are going to get it all back here in the next few days. Continue reading…

All about March...

Posted February 24th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 61 comments

Winter's been great for both sides of the road. For those of us who dread the bitter cold and heavy snow, you had it made the first half of the season. For those of you love winter, you've got more than enough snow & cold to keep you happy for a long time. It might have came a little later than anticipated, but when the snow hit, it hit hard. The worst of the winter season is starting to pass and we are now finishing out the last week of Continue reading…
Things are beginning to come into focus for the weekend and beyond. Let's go through it. Short-Term (Through Saturday) Light snow is dropping into the region as a weak disturbance pinwheels southward from Canada. You can see it on this satellite loop. This will continue tonight and into the first part... Continue reading…

Throwing in the Towel on Next Week!

Posted February 22nd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 55 comments

There are just certain times where you as a forecaster get perplexed about things and really can't figure them out. The problem right now is in the extended. I'll explain in a second. First, for the short term, here's the surface analysis as of 7:15 PM. The inverted trough jetting... Continue reading…

Snow Stats + Quick Hits

Posted February 21st, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 77 comments

I compiled some snowfall stats earlier today from around CNY and WNY. Some of the numbers are amazing. Utica Feb Snow: 67.2" (February Record, all-time monthly record (previous all-time record 1890)) Seasonal Snow: 101.2" (77% in the last month, 85% since January 15). Average Seasonal Snow: 98.9" 44 of the... Continue reading…

Meltdown? Not So Fast...

Posted February 20th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 51 comments

Utica (Rome) hit 45 degrees today. That's the first time since January 13, that we've been that mild. While we can't call today a fluke necessarily, we can tell you that 40 degree weather will not be a permanent fixture around here in the coming days. The first cold front has... Continue reading…

A week filled with clippers...

Posted February 19th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 25 comments

A summary of the week ahead, and some interesting developments for the weekend. Continue reading…

Early signs of heading in a different direction?

Posted February 18th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 32 comments

Snow, snow, snow...and then a look ahead... Continue reading…

And Another One Bites the Dust!

Posted February 16th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 74 comments

First off, I had to share this picture. Audrey in Boonville sent it to us during the storm on Wednesday, and I think it's my favorite viewer submitted picture so far. Nothing you can do about the weather, so might as well try to enjoy it somehow! :) Climate Utica has officially... Continue reading…
Just a quick note. Through tomorrow, if the servers crash, and you have issues reaching this website, I will post an identical entry on the other one (Nor'easter blog). Try to keep the comments here if possible. Thanks for your patience!! Endless winter in CNY since mid-January. Just a... Continue reading…

Temporary Changes to Blogging

Posted February 13th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 44 comments

PLEASE READ FIRST We're aware of the slow blog issues. We have set up a "mirror" site tonight to allow for less congestion so that you can get all the info quickly. We'd monitor both and let you know immediately how to handle it. Click here for the... Continue reading…

Quick Recap of LES, Then Staring at the Big Guy

Posted February 12th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 82 comments

For those of you waiting for spring... pitchers and catchers report to spring training this week! We're almost there. For those of you snow lovers south and east of Utica who have had basically 2 winters of misery, your luck is about to change. Lake Effect Recap I'm going to undertake... Continue reading…

Setting the stage...

Posted February 12th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 45 comments

Setting the stage for a storm that may move in here late tomorrow night... Continue reading…

One event wrapping up, then buckle your seatbeats....

Posted February 11th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 65 comments

Very interesting things to talk about in the extended forecast... Continue reading…

An event for the record books (still not over yet though)

Posted February 10th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 114 comments

Homestretch of lake effect, and a look at the week ahead in weather... Continue reading…

No Rest for the Weary

Posted February 9th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 76 comments

The Pribbles sent us this picture of a snowy West Leyden. Over 70" and counting there for the event. Keep sending us photos to weather@wktv.com or witness@wktv.com and we'll keep updating the gallery. Some of them are amazing. Lake snows remain in the forecast. Thankfully, a bit less than what we've been... Continue reading…

Lake Effect Snow & Upper Lakes 101 (Why it's critical!)

Posted February 9th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 85 comments

It's late, and I'm not "on the clock," but I'm looking at what happened in the last 2 hours, and it needs to be made into a lesson. The lesson will follow. Lake snows should continue off and on for several hours now. Our snow totals forecast map is here.br... Continue reading…

(Insert Word Here) Lake Effect Event Continues

Posted February 8th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 61 comments

We're running out of synonyms to use to describe this event. As of 4:30 PM the highest total we've received (may not be the highest overall) is in Parish and is 88". Within our viewing area, 77" in North Osceola takes the prize so far, with 63" in West Leyden. Within... Continue reading…

Endless Lake Effect Continues....

Posted February 7th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 106 comments

Thanks to Todd in Westdale, in northwestern Oneida County, for this awesome picture. He's up to 48" for the event so far. Like we did last night, here's a look at some of the numbers: Highest Official Snow Total: 79.3" Redfield Highest Snow Total in the WKTV Viewing Area: 58.0"... Continue reading…

Historic Lake Effect Snows Continue

Posted February 6th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 81 comments

The picture is from Point Rock, courtesy of Andrew Castle. Shovelling over 3 feet of snow off a roof is no small task!! One of the biggest events in a few winters continues, and we're only (maybe) halfway done! Here's a quick summary of what's happened so far: As of 8:30 PM- Highest Snow... Continue reading…

Near Blizzard-like Conditions Continue...

Posted February 5th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 118 comments

Blizzard like conditions continue across the area. Continue reading…

An Amazing Lake Effect Event Unfolding

Posted February 4th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 134 comments

Heavy lake effect snow poised to move back into the region... Continue reading…

Bring it on...

Posted February 3rd, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 121 comments

An update on the lake effect snow forecast... Continue reading…

Epic (?) LES Event About to Tee Off for the Tug

Posted February 2nd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 64 comments

Well, we're on the cusp of what could be an historical lake effect snow event. At this time, we think the worst, most intense part of the event will be on Sunday, with band movement and significant snows around more of CNY for early next week. Let's go through... Continue reading…

Get the Yard Sticks Ready, Tug.

Posted February 2nd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 8 comments

Just wanted to post a brief entry now to show your our snow forecast for the weekend. Yes, we're serious. And in fact, to some degree...we may be being a bit conservative. Our gut feeling is that on the Tug, there will be a 3-5 foot + bullseye through... Continue reading…

Severe weather in Florida

Posted February 2nd, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 30 comments

You've heard the headlines down in Florida. Tornados ripped through Central Florida early on this morning. While tornados in Florida during the winter aren't rare, they are certainly unusual. Continue reading…
First off, the image you see is a satellite depiction of yesterday's tremendous lake effect snow band in the North Country. It's from the MODIS Satellite, which is capable of sending back some breathtaking snapshots sometimes. You can link to and download the Lake Ontario image here. You... Continue reading…

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