Blog Archives: May 2007

The Start of a Very Active Pattern

Posted May 31st, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 35 comments

Today kick started what should about a 5-7 day period of very active weather in our area. Refer to the previous entry for thoughts about what's coming next week. I see no reason to change our thinking and we've upgraded our forecast accordingly. Looks like a 24-36 hour period of... Continue reading…
This month has been dry....very dry. Since the middle of April, officially at Rome, we have had under 1.25" of rain. This month alone we have had only 0.45" officially. Should we not see any storms at the airport tonight or tomorrow, we will end up the 2nd driest May... Continue reading…

Showers and Storms Possible Later this Evening

Posted May 30th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 9 comments

As you can see from the image on the right, we're tracking an area of showers and thunderstorms just south of Ottawa, Ontario right now. Click to enlarge the image. This area is going to drop to the southeast and possibly due south. It may or may not hold... Continue reading…

Looking Into Hurricane Season 2007

Posted May 29th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 8 comments

Hurricane season in the Atlantic begins, officially, on Friday. So tonight we'll discuss hurricanes. Obviously here in CNY we don't deal with the direct impacts of these storms, but even we can deal with them to some degree...and the problems can be pretty messy. We'll discuss first how the... Continue reading…

Looking Into The Week

Posted May 28th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

A very nice stretch of weather is on tap for the next 2 days or so. Expect sunshine on Tuesday and most of Wednesday. Temps will be seasonable on Tuesday (mid 70s) and warm Wednesday (low 80s). For Thursday, our morning runs of the computer models made for a very pessimistic... Continue reading…

Severe thunderstorm watch posted

Posted May 27th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 23 comments

We saw our first warning go up for Herkimer and Fulton County about 30 minutes ago. Continue reading…

First sign of action

Posted May 27th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 10 comments

It's shortly after 1pm, and we've got our first storms forming across the region. Continue reading…
Matt already built the foundation behind this forecast in the last entry, so let me freshen you up with some of the latest information regarding tomorrow's forecast. Continue reading…

Some Strong Thunderstorms Possible Sunday

Posted May 25th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 12 comments

As we saw today, all it took was a little bit more humidity to fire off some thunderstorms. Dewpoints today actually made it into the mid 60s (a little bit higher than our models forecasted). This juice was why we had more storms today, even though our temperatures were exactly... Continue reading…

Weekend Might Not Be So Bad + Travel Forecast

Posted May 24th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 23 comments

Alright, truthfully, even with this one significant hiccup being forecast, the timing might actually be perfect for our outdoor plans. Friday Still looking at sun and clouds with afternoon thunderstorms possible. Again, not anticipating too much in the way of severe weather, if any at all. Most of tomorrow's storms will... Continue reading…

Holiday Weekend Coming Into Focus

Posted May 23rd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 22 comments

Now that we're a couple days closer to the holiday weekend, some things are becoming a little clearer. Unfortunately, this doesn't mean the forecast has become any better. But at least we have a distinct period where we're confident things will be dry. Let's take you through all four days. Friday We'll... Continue reading…

Another holiday, another nasty forecast?

Posted May 21st, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 15 comments

While this week is going to be a pure winner, obviously the main focus and pressure on us this weekend will involve the Memorial Day Weekend forecast. We mentioned last week that things looked a little messy. Unfortunately, there's no change to this, and in fact, we need to monitor... Continue reading…

Super nice week ahead...

Posted May 19th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 19 comments

Yes, we still update this blog on weekends :) Continue reading…
Just going to post a brief entry here tonight. Talk about getting the shaft. We just missed out on a repeat of yesterday's decent amount of sunshine. Nice day in Buffalo and Rochester, but not for us. Weekend continues to look nasty. The models disagree on the placement of the... Continue reading…

How to Ruin a Weekend in a Few Quick, Easy Steps!

Posted May 16th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 27 comments

More typical Central New York springtime weather is about to rear its ugly head in the coming days. We've warned you about "cutoff low" season. Between April and June is the prime time for these systems to form and they can take a great looking forecast and destroy it. Unfortunately,... Continue reading…

Unsettled Weather Returns

Posted May 14th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 78 comments

After a very nice stretch of weather since the thunderstorms of late last week, we're going to be returning to a more typical spring weather pattern starting tomorrow. First off, here's a surface map from 4:45 this afternoon. Red numbers represent temperatures and green numbers represent dewpoints. Our air... Continue reading…

Recapping Thursday and Looking Ahead

Posted May 10th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 22 comments

Well, the numbers did not lie today. Instability was excellent and we cashed in. Two reports of golf ball size hail in North Norwich, Chenango County. I'm sharing a photo from Jeff in Southern Hills which he was kind enough to forward to us. It measures up. So quite a... Continue reading…

Severe Thunderstorm Watch Until 8 PM Thursday

Posted May 9th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 115 comments

In the image, you can see a radar snapshot of the Upper Great Lakes as of 4:40 PM Wednesday. Notice an area of showers and embedded storms over Michigan and Ohio. What's going on is an area of low pressure in the upper atmosphere is shifting eastward. Instability in the... Continue reading…

Forecast Issues for Wednesday

Posted May 8th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 9 comments

Just a brief entry tonight to get you up to speed on actual weather here in CNY as opposed to all the severe weather stuff we've talked about. First off, we've got winds shifted into the west and southwest now. This means we've begun importing warmer and more moist air.... Continue reading…
Tonight I'll continue with part four of a three part series on severe weather safety. :) After watching things this past weekend in the Midwest, I felt it would be wise to talk about the various ways in which you can get weather information. The previous three entries talked about the... Continue reading…
We close out our three part series on severe weather tonight with probably the most important topic of all: Flash Flooding. Probably the most common impact of severe weather on our area comes in the form of too much rain too fast. This can lead to flooding, quickly...in a flash....flash flooding. Lightning... Continue reading…
First off, as promised, I just want to thank the 6th graders of Mount Markham Middle School for a great visit today! In case you're just checking into the blog, we're doing a three part series on severe weather safety and awareness. Yesterday we defined what a severe thunderstorm was, the... Continue reading…

Severe Weather: Part I: Thunderstorms/Lightning

Posted May 2nd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 17 comments

With the weather looking extremely quiet through next Monday/Tuesday, and the challenge for us being temperature and cloud cover forecasts, I figured this would be a good time to give everyone a refresher course on severe weather...what you need to know, how it affects us here in CNY, and... Continue reading…

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