Blog Archives: July 2007

CNY to Begin Heating Up...so are the Tropics!

Posted July 31st, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 17 comments

It's beginning to get a little busy in weather now. The actual weather over the next 2 days looks absolutely silent. In fact, looking at a satellite picture, centered over Duluth, MN, you can see there are not any substantial clouds until you get into North Dakota! In... Continue reading…

Through the Weekend...Looking at the Week Ahead

Posted July 29th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 12 comments

Well, I get the rare Sunday shift tonight, so I figured I'd type up a brief entry...a little extra time tonight, so I'll be explaining this graphically tonight at 11. First off, the weekend was a close call as expected. On Saturday, the core of the moisture progressed further east than... Continue reading…

A Busy Weekend in CNY!

Posted July 27th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 18 comments

There are a ton of events this weekend taking place in CNY, so rather than try to pin down the forecast parameters and all that...let's just cut right to the chase. Here's our thinking weatherwise for some of the events taking place this weekend... The Bottom Line Don't cancel any plans.... Continue reading…

Weekend Continues to Look Wet

Posted July 25th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 90 comments

I'm still not completely sold on the weekend forecast, but I am becoming more confident that it is going to be rainy for quite a large chunk of it. Let's go through it. Here are the maps off the 12Z (morning) run of the GFS today. You can check... Continue reading…
As a forecaster, there's honestly no better feeling than thinking you have a handle on things. I would say this happens once every couple weeks, where you deal with a tricky weather pattern, but then suddenly, things just add up and make sense, at least on paper. If you read... Continue reading…

Looking at the Week Ahead

Posted July 23rd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 23 comments

Lots of events happening this week and into the weekend (Oneida County Fair, the Great American Irish Festival, and obviously the Hall of Fame inductions on Sunday). So let's look at the players. First off, here's a look at the NAM's forecast for tonight at 8 PM. Notice... Continue reading…

Trouble in the short term...

Posted July 21st, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 32 comments

Monday's forecast is a nail biter. Continue reading…
I wanted to touch on a couple of forecasting issues tonight. Let's go through it! Tonight Rain will continue to advance into the region. On average, I see most of us receiving a quarter to a half inch more of the liquid gold. Where the heaviest rains persist (probably south of Route... Continue reading…

Thursday: Severe Weather? Heavy Rain? Or Nada?

Posted July 18th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 63 comments

A very, very tough call for Thursday here. Let me lay out the situation. Warm, humid air continues to move toward us. Dewpoints of 65-70 were located in Michigan, as well as to our south in NYC. Elsewhere, low to mid 60s on average has been the rule. So we... Continue reading…

Midsummer Meets Mid-Spring

Posted July 17th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 26 comments

Just when you thought you were out, they pull you back in. A very complex weather pattern for the middle of summer is setting up. Rain continues to overspread the area tonight, pretty much as expected. The models have basically been useless regarding this. So a look at satellite and... Continue reading…

Challenging for the next 36-72 Hours

Posted July 16th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 20 comments

Well, I guess I shouldn't be surprised that I come back and inherit a messy forecast. That's how it goes! Let's run through the next 3 days...I won't run many maps at you...getting settled back in...we'll get better at that tomorrow night. Here are the thoughts though.... Tuesday An interesting day. Radar... Continue reading…

The challenges of the extended forecast

Posted July 15th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 16 comments

If you were always wondering why meteorologists tend to overforecast thunderstorms, this sums it up in a nutshell. Continue reading…

Tomorrow's Severe Weather Potential

Posted July 10th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 97 comments

It's been an active week, but by the time we get into tomorrow night, the weather should settle down. Continue reading…

Big storms move through area...

Posted July 9th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 75 comments

A supercell thunderstorm developed and moved through the Mohawk Valley earlier this evening... Continue reading…

Strong storms possible late tonight

Posted July 8th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 81 comments

An in depth look at tonight's severe weather potential... Continue reading…

Boilermaker weekend

Posted July 5th, 2007 by Bill Kardas. 44 comments

A look at what happened today and another preview to the Boilermaker forecast. Continue reading…

Thursday Thunder, Weekend Forecast

Posted July 4th, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 19 comments

Just want to put up a brief entry this evening about some upcoming things to discuss. We will have a handful of thunderstorms tomorrow afternoon. Some of the storms could be strong. Time to play the sunshine card again...the amount of sun we see in the morning (which in theory... Continue reading…

Some Severe Weather Possible on July 4th

Posted July 3rd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 43 comments

The forecast over the next 3-5 days looks incredibly challenging, with a lot riding on where things precisely set up shop. I'm purposely avoiding the forecast for the weekend, as there are no changes right now, except Sunday looks a little warmer. I want to focus on the Wednesday forecast.... Continue reading…

Natural Fireworks for July 4th?

Posted July 2nd, 2007 by Matt Lanza. 15 comments

We have numerous major forecasts coming up, and unfortunately it's coinciding with one of the more complex weather patterns we've seen this summer. Let me go through this day by day and explain the situation to you.... Tuesday Not much happening here. High pressure will slowly slip off to our south and... Continue reading…

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