Blog Archives: September 2006

Quick Nighttime Observation

Posted September 30th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

Just checking up on the forecast as I usually do before bed, and I've noticed a monkey wrench, but something interesting. What you see in the image is lake effect rain showers that have gotten going off Lake Ontario in the last couple hours. The cloudiness from this may prevent... Continue reading…

Chilly Temps and a brief look at October....

Posted September 29th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 57 comments

It's cold out already! Here are some 7:30 PM observations from around CNY: Lake Pleasant: 43 Old Forge: 39 Old Forge (alternate): 42 Poland: 44 Cold Brook: 45 Oneida County Airport: 47 (also the low for the day) I'll try and post another update here in a couple hours. Just glancing at... Continue reading…

Tonight's potential frost

Posted September 29th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 7 comments

What a change in the weather. Yesterday, we topped 70 degrees before the rain came in. Now, temperatures are a good 15-20 degrees cooler. This is very typical of fall. This cold airmass in play really means business. Skies will clear out tonight and that means temperatures will fall like a rock. Continue reading…

Heavy Rains Could Bring Minor Flooding

Posted September 28th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 7 comments

What you see in the image is the radar this evening in the Northeast. No shortage of moisture around tonight as heavy rains are moving through and will continue for at least another couple of hours. All this is associated with a strong cold front that will be bringing in cool... Continue reading…

More on El Nino

Posted September 27th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 13 comments

A couple quick things. We've had a lot of people comment or address the temperature at the bottom of the screen. We'll be adjusting the sensor here soon because something isn't right with it. So just be patient and we'll have that fixed. In the meantime, you can get the... Continue reading…

Weekend Weather in CNY

Posted September 26th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

Alright, so Russ left us a comment today on our blog entry from yesterday. He wanted to know if there was proof that weekends have been terrible lately. Well, to lighten the mood of all the winter outlook, El Nino and bad weather talk I undertook the task. Check this... Continue reading…

Thoughts on the Next Ten Days...

Posted September 25th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 5 comments

First off, we don't like to be too partial to anyone, but I need to get this one out there for myself (This does not necessarily represent the views of the rest of the Weather Department here): A public congratulations to my alma mater, Rutgers University, who's Scarlet Knights football... Continue reading…

More on tomorrow's windy forecast...

Posted September 23rd, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 6 comments

As Matt mentioned yesterday, we are likely going to be dealing with some gusty winds here in Central New York. A few things have changed since yesterday. Continue reading…

A windy Sunday?

Posted September 22nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 5 comments

One thing I'm becoming a little concerned with for this weekend will be strong winds when the cold front we've been advertising comes through here Sunday. Check out the image. It's a snapshot, from a forecasting tool we use, of forecasted wind speed for Sunday. It may be a little... Continue reading…

Waterspouts and Tornadoes

Posted September 22nd, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 74 comments

Not sure how many people will be checking this out soon, but some time sensitive stuff going on with a Tornado Warning issued for Downtown Chicago, IL. What you see in the image is the radar from Chicago as of 7:15. Pretty nasty stuff. And this is right in... Continue reading…

First Frost for Many

Posted September 21st, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 8 comments

In the image is what I'm forecasting for overnight lows in some spots here in CNY. We're already at 49 as of 8 PM! In fact, Old Forget is already down to 40! Temps are tumbling quickly and I think many spots will end up frosty tomorrow morning. If you're... Continue reading…

Lake Effect Update

Posted September 20th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

Well we told you last night that the lake effect would get going off Ontario and boy did it crank up this morning. Heavy lake effect rain was reported in northern Oneida, Lewis and Oswego Counties as vigorous lake effect band set up shop. Rain totals are estimated to be... Continue reading…

Lake Effect Rain!

Posted September 19th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 7 comments

Well our first significant lake effect event of the season is underway. The image is a snapshot of the NWS Radar in Buffalo, showing rain showers and maybe even a few thundershowers coming off Lake Erie. Lake Ontario should begin spouting off some showers here in the next few... Continue reading…

The Changes Are Coming!

Posted September 18th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 3 comments

Changes in the weather. We've told you about them since last week, and they're coming now. With highs near 80 today in most locations, and 81 officially at Oneida County Airport, it certainly felt like summer out there. But as we go through the next 24 hours, what you see... Continue reading…

Sun angle's the player...(Utica climate part one)

Posted September 17th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 6 comments

A mini discussion on the shortening days of fall, the sun angle, and what it means for us in Central New York. Continue reading…

Continuing the El Nino Discussion (Lake Effect Angle)

Posted September 15th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 9 comments

So, if you missed the blog on El Nino and what it could mean for our winter, you can check it out here. In that entry, I laid out 9 different years that had a similar El Nino progression to the one we may be seeing unfold now. The bottom... Continue reading…

Warming Up, but a Real Cold Shot Next Week...

Posted September 14th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 7 comments

First of all, if you missed the El Nino discussion last night, check it out here. A lot of supporting evidence is there. But to sum things up: Just as a very very rough first guess right now, I'm thinking we'll have a cool and damp autumn, a chilly,... Continue reading…

El Nino and What it Means for us...

Posted September 13th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 24 comments

NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) today announced that we are heading toward an El Nino. You can read the press release or, if you're looking for more technical info, you can read the entire report. This is something we've seen brewing here for a couple of... Continue reading…

Update on Our Weather and the Tropics

Posted September 12th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 2 comments

A brief entry tonight, as primary election results will be the main focus of most of us here on Smith Hill! Next 48 hours should be gloomy around here, with off and on showers, cool temperatures and plenty of clouds. Rain start time may be a little earlier than originally... Continue reading…

Another Chilly Night...

Posted September 11th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 6 comments

Freeze Warnings are back in effect for the Adirondacks tonight, as temperatures should meet or even exceed last night's lows in many spots. If you saw frost this morning, you'll probably be greeted by it again tomorrow morning. We'll talk about this morning in a second. First, a lot of... Continue reading…

More on frost, freeze, and everything inbetween

Posted September 10th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 16 comments

This time of the year, meteorologists use the term frost and freeze interchangeably, but there are a few subtle differences. Continue reading…

Feeling a bit like football season

Posted September 9th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 3 comments

The day turned out very nice here in town! A very different story for many of our other friends living north, south, and east of us today. Continue reading…

Frost Possible This Weekend

Posted September 8th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 5 comments

Mainly in the Adirondacks, but it looks chilly this weekend! Check out this image. It's from Penn State University, and can be found by following this link. This is a map of what one of our computer models is forecasting for temperature on Monday morning. Anywhere that you... Continue reading…

The Art of Weather Forecasting

Posted September 8th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 7 comments

One of the most challenging parts of my job is giving you the impression of how I feel about my forecast. There are days where Im full of confidence and days where Iím not. Why is that, and what are some of the things that I, along with my fellow colleges, do to address this issue? Continue reading…

Shot of Autumn coming!

Posted September 7th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 10 comments

Check out the image. It's a little complicated. Basically, the lefthand side is from this morning. The far right hand side is next Friday morning, the 15th. The bottom is the surface, and the top is about 8,000 feet in the atmosphere. This image is a plot of forecasted... Continue reading…
At this point, this weekend appears 50/50. We'll see a nice start to Saturday, followed by showers and thunderstorms (similar to today) across most of Upstate NY as a cold front drops in. This will lead to cloud cover and cooler temps for Sunday. I do think we'll see some... Continue reading…

Looking Into the Near Future and Distant Future...

Posted September 5th, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 6 comments

Before we get into this, I want to talk about some forecasting issues lately. Let me give you a quick background on computer models that we use. We have dozens to choose from, literally. Some are based here in the US (which we rely most heavily on), and others are... Continue reading…

Continuing the Discussion on Global Warming...

Posted September 4th, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 21 comments

In this article, we'll touch upon some of the history of climate change, the theory behind global warming, and some of the issues behind this theory. Continue reading…

Misconceptions about global warming...

Posted September 3rd, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 29 comments

Digging through some of the misleading information about this 'hot' topic... Continue reading…

Matt was right on the money...

Posted September 2nd, 2006 by Bill Kardas. 10 comments

Today's rain was brief. You can thank the Catskills for that one. We saw a lot of 'drying' in the atmosphere thanks to the higher terrain to our south and east. Continue reading…

Why Ernesto May Not Be Much for Some People...

Posted September 1st, 2006 by Matt Lanza. 15 comments

If you want specifics on the forecast, here's the link for it: Minor Flooding Possible Check out the image. This is a computer model depiction of rainfall through the weekend. It's from a model called the "WRF," run at Rutgers University by my friend Lou Bowers. Thanks to him for... Continue reading…

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