Black Friday storm...

Posted November 27th, 2009 by Bill Kardas. 47 comments

It is cold enough this morning for snow to mix in with rain showers across parts of Central/Western New York.  Syracuse reports flurries this morning (6AM) along with snow being reported in higher elevations like Binghamton.  The ground is still very warm from the recent mild weather, so we don't expect much of this morning snow to stick...at least to the roadways.  That will be a different story heading into the night tonight.

The bigger story with this storm is going to be the wind.  Winds will crank in from the west starting late this afternoon.  A west wind is a strong wind for the Mohawk Valley due to funneling.  We anticipate winds sustained between 15-30mph with gusts over 40mph.  The Adirondacks and higher elevations could see gusts up to 60mph.  That's enough to cause some minor damage.  High wind warnings are in effect for the Adirondacks.  High wind warnings are not  Look for the majority of the strong winds between 5pm this evening through tonight and early tomorrow morning.

Most of the day, light rain showers for the majority of the area.  As our coastal storm strengthens, the wraparound moisture will give us steady precipitation tonight.  This is our best shot of seeing some snow for parts of the area.

As for snow, if you live in the Mohawk Valley and lower elevations (which accounts for about 75% of our viewers), you'll see mostly rain.  Some snow will mix in later tonight, but accumulations will be minimal.  The hilltops with elevations between 1000 feet and 1500 feet will see a mix of rain and snow this morning, rain showers this afternoon, a mix of rain and snow this evening, and mainly snow showers tonight.  Accumulations will be light, with perhaps a coating to an inch.  In some localized spots, I could see a bit more than that, especially in elevations over 1200 feet.  If you aren't familiar with your elevation, I encourage you to check out this link:  http://www.wktv.com/weather/extras/16752011.html 

The harder the precipitation falls, the more likely it will fall as snow showers in the hilltops.  Again, the best chance of this happening is early this morning and again after dark.  Light accumulations for the higher spots.  Go to http://www.wktv.com/weather for our snowfall map. Our snow spotters will keep you very informed as to where it is snowing throughout the day today and tonight.

As for traveling concerns, it's not going to be the snow, but rather the wind that will cause more issues on the roadways.  Best time to travel would be on Sunday, when the winds and rain and snow will be over with.  Have a safe trip if you are heading back home! 

Tags: high wind, wind

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Comments

  1. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Snow showers barely starting to mix in with the rain showers on Smith Hill right now.

    Posted November 27th at 8:25 AM

  2. Tony -CNYWeather.com (Westmoreland, NY):

    A few flakes mixed in with some drizzle here in Westmo

    Posted November 27th at 9:06 AM

  3. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    Snowing up in Barnes Corners this morning. A coating of the white stuff on the grassy surfaces. Check out the webcam!

    Posted November 27th at 10:34 AM

  4. Bill Kardas (WKTV):

    All snow here on Smith Hill now. Big wet flakes, but not sticking to anything.

    Posted November 27th at 10:35 AM

  5. Jeff H (Sherburne Hills):

    We had wet snowflakes this morning but no accumulation here in the hills.

    Posted November 27th at 11:06 AM

  6. sn (forestport):

    Let is snow :) – started here about 15 to 30 minutes ago here. have a great day

    Posted November 27th at 11:22 AM

  7. sn (forestport):

    I should add that it is not sticking to anything at this time but snow is in the air. :)

    Posted November 27th at 11:26 AM

  8. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Didn’t see any flakes here today. Hopefully tonight. We have a +PNA and -NAO going for us as we head into December. Lets hope the models start showing some big storms. We definitely don’t want to waste this pattern… especially if El Nino is forecasted to get stronger.

    Posted November 27th at 4:07 PM

  9. Mike W (EAST HERKIMER):

    There’s a couple of systems to follow next week atleast, the wed-fri time frame looks to be interesting depending on what camp u believe.. NWS believe’s there will be LES in the Dacks and mohawk valley after the storm departs..

    Posted November 27th at 6:04 PM

  10. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Looks like they dropped the advisory. Winds have only been gusting in the low 20mph range here. Rain/Snow mix right now @ 36 degrees.

    Posted November 27th at 10:04 PM

  11. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Thanks for the update Rob. We are still seeing plain rain on Smith Hill.

    Posted November 27th at 10:09 PM

  12. Jimmy (New Hartford):

    All rain here at 38 degrees.

    Posted November 27th at 11:08 PM

  13. Rob (Whitesboro):

    This is certainly strange. How often do you see a storm bomb off the coast to our NE and drag in warmer air! 850’s are even at +1 up by Massena. The temp here has risen to 41 degrees.

    Posted November 28th at 4:58 AM

  14. Norm (Floyd):

    I slept in this morning.
    Did I miss the first snow?
    Temp now 46 degrees.

    Posted November 28th at 9:58 AM

  15. Rob (Whitesboro):

    Reports of trees and wires down in Old Forge. Highest gust here was 33mph.

    Posted November 28th at 9:59 AM

  16. Rob (Whitesboro):

    14.5” of snow fell in Jefferson, New Hampshire. Even a few double digit amounts fell in Vermont from the storm.

    Posted November 28th at 10:05 AM

  17. Jill Reale (Utica):

    Snowfall Reports:

    Lake Placid, NY: 1.5”
    Randolph Hill, NH: 15.5”
    Walden, VT: 11.0”
    Jay, VT: 10.0”
    Jay Peak: 7.0”
    (for the skiers out there Jay Peak: 7-10” at the base and 15-20” at the summit)

    Our highest wind gust was 37mph at RME and Norm we didnt receive any accumulating snow. Becky from West Leyden had 1/4” yesterday.

    Posted November 28th at 4:23 PM

  18. Bob (Cooperstown):

    Our high wind here was 41 mph at 0430am

    Posted November 28th at 11:28 PM

  19. Ralph L (New Hartford ( 900 ft )):

    Mount Washington in New Hampshire recorded a 24.4” snowfall amount from this latest storm. Winter has arrived.

    Posted November 29th at 12:24 AM

  20. Rob (Whitesboro):

    The NAO is tanking for the end of the week. I see the Euro model has shifted a bit eastward as well. Could we have something brewing…..

    Posted November 29th at 9:01 AM

  21. fairfield:

    51 mph wind gust at 2:03 pm

    Posted November 29th at 11:11 AM

  22. John:

    Joe Bastardi’s final winter forecast for 09-10 has just been posted on Accuweather.com. Looks very interesting for the Northeast!!

    Posted November 29th at 7:23 PM

  23. Rob (Whitesboro):

    I can’t believe the models came back to the west with next week’s storm. I don’t think they’re right though. GFS comes up the App spine which just about never happens. The CMC/UK even goes west of there which seems very odd with the NAO tanking. We need some snow!

    Posted November 29th at 7:52 PM

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    Posted November 29th at 8:46 PM

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